What will you be doing in for new year 2020?
Brian Butterworth published on UK Free TV
As 2009 is almost over, why not look ahead for a moment to 2020?
Firstly, let's make the assumption that Moore's Law will continue to work, in the way it has since the 1950s.
Taking one version ("you get twice as much stuff for the same price every 18 months" or "you get the same stuff for half the price every 18 months"), this will mean that by January 2020:
- Today's typical broadband download speed (4,376kb/s) will have risen to 444,574kb/s. That's 54MB a second.
- A 100 hard disk drive will store about 1.5TB (Terrabytes) today, by January 2020, this will be a cool 152TB.
- a 100 CPU today gives you a dual-core at 3.06GHz. Even though it won't be a dual-core, the equivalent processor will be at 311GHz.
- 100 gets you about 4GB of RAM, by 2010, 100 gets you 406GB.
So, what to do with your 450Mbps net connection? What does a computer with 300GHz of CPU and 406GHz or RAM do?